Key Highlights:
  • Arkham launched a ranking system for prediction market traders.
  • Rankings are based on forecasting accuracy.
  • Smaller traders can outperform larger ones.
  • The tool currently focuses on Polymarket activity.

Blockchain analytics platform Arkham has launched a new ranking system designed to identify the most accurate prediction market traders.

Rather than ranking users by profits or trading volume, Arkham uses an Elo-style rating system that rewards forecasting accuracy. Traders who consistently make correct predictions improve their rankings regardless of how much money they wager.

The system also factors in prediction difficulty, rewarding successful predictions differently depending on the market odds.

According to Arkham, the highest-ranked trader currently is "GardenerCx," who has achieved a 64.3% win rate across more than 2,600 prediction market bets.

The rankings currently focus on activity from Polymarket, one of the largest blockchain-based prediction markets.

The launch comes as prediction markets continue attracting significant interest, with major companies including Coinbase, Robinhood, DraftKings, and Meta expanding their own initiatives in the sector.