- Polymarket launched prediction markets tied to private company valuations
- New markets include OpenAI, SpaceX, Stripe, Kraken and Anthropic
- Nasdaq Private Market will provide official resolution data
- Polymarket has already generated nearly $39 billion in U.S. volume this year
Polymarket Expands Into Private Markets
Polymarket announced a new category of prediction markets tied to private company milestones, including IPO timing, valuations, earnings, and secondary market activity.
The platform partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to source official resolution data for the contracts.
OpenAI and SpaceX Markets Arrive
Early offerings include contracts tied to valuation targets and corporate milestones for companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, Databricks, Kraken, and Elon Musk’s SpaceX.
Unlike tokenized equity products, the contracts focus purely on event outcomes and market expectations.
Competition in Onchain Finance Heats Up
The move comes as crypto platforms increasingly experiment with products tied to private company sentiment and pre-IPO activity.
Earlier this month, Hyperliquid-based TradeXYZ launched perpetual futures linked to private firms like SpaceX and Cerebras.
Polymarket’s offering instead focuses on crowd-sourced forecasting and prediction markets.
Prediction Market Growth Accelerates
Polymarket said these products could become valuable sentiment indicators for institutional investors tracking private market pricing trends.
The platform has seen explosive growth throughout 2026, generating nearly $39 billion in U.S. trading volume so far this year.