Josh Olszewicz offers a clear-eyed look at today’s market. Things are choppy, uncertain, and slow. But a few key events could flip the switch soon.
1. April 2 Tariffs Will Set the Tone
Everything hinges on the new U.S. tariffs coming April 2.
❗️ Markets are expecting them to be bad for inflation and growth
📉 If true, it could mean short-term downside
📈 But if the tariffs are mild or delayed, we may see a fast move higher
Josh says markets are pricing in the worst-case scenario. If that’s wrong, upside potential is huge.
2. Bitcoin Is Rangebound, Waiting for a Catalyst
BTC remains stuck around 84K, still below key trend levels like the 4-hour cloud. There’s no strong momentum either way. For now, the safest play is to wait.
3. Altcoins: Mostly Weak, With a Few Exceptions
Most altcoins look terrible. ETH, SOL, ADA — all trading below important levels.
✅ A few memecoins like PEPE are showing early signs of life
⛔ But broad altcoin strength just isn’t here yet
Josh’s advice is simple: don’t try to guess the bottom. Wait for confirmed trend reversals.
4. Liquidity Is Rising, But Crypto Hasn’t Reacted Yet
✅ Global money supply is growing
✅ Gold is rallying, which often leads Bitcoin
📉 Crypto hasn’t moved yet, but historically it lags behind
Josh expects Bitcoin to follow gold’s lead — but with a delay.
5. Key Triggers to Watch Heading Into Q2
Here’s what could change everything:
✅ Tariffs turn out to be less harmful than expected
✅ Inflation keeps falling
✅ Liquidity continues to rise
✅ Bitcoin reclaims key levels like the daily cloud
If these pieces fall into place, Josh sees BTC hitting 125K and MSTR pushing toward 600.
Final Take
Right now the market is waiting for clarity. Don’t chase trades. If macro conditions improve in Q2, a major breakout could follow. Until then, protect your capital and stay patient.
