David sits down with longtime Bitcoiner Dan Held to take an honest look at whether Bitcoin's original vision is actually playing out after 15 years.

Key Points

Key Highlights:
  • Bitcoin's culture shifted from cypherpunk libertarians to institutional ETFs, but the code never bent, the institutions bent to Bitcoin instead
  • Price is the best single measure of success because it compresses adoption, narrative, and belief into one number, and convincing 40 million Americans to question the nature of money from a dozen people in a room is a real achievement
  • Bitcoin's biggest miss was L2s, the community promised trustless scaling after the block size wars and never delivered, Ethereum and Solana's market caps represent that missed opportunity
  • Quantum computing is the most pressing unresolved issue, the threat is not immediate but migration to post-quantum signatures needs to start now because upgrading every Bitcoin address will take years
  • Bitcoin will flip gold but probably not for 10 to 15 years, and SpaceX making asteroid mining viable could accelerate gold's collapse faster than most expect

Takeaway The code held firm while everything around it changed. The culture shifted, the L2 promise went unfulfilled, and quantum looms ahead, but the plan is largely working.