Max breaks down Ethereum’s market positioning, arguing that ETH is primed for a major move despite widespread bearish sentiment. He analyzes key chart patterns, seasonality, and historical trends to make his case for an upcoming "hated rally."


Ethereum Outlook

Key Highlights:
  • ETH is at an inflection point after forming a bullish falling compression pattern with multiple successful holds at range lows.

  • Three-drive pattern to the low suggests a reversal, as late shorters are now getting punished.

  • Max believes this is the big push that will break resistance and drive ETH into price discovery.


ETH Sentiment and Market Positioning

Key Highlights:
  • ETH has been heavily lagging compared to Bitcoin and other altcoins, with many traders giving up on it.

  • Sentiment is at rock bottom, similar to past "hated" trades like XRP before its rally.

  • Historical seasonal patterns show that ETH tends to perform best from December to May, aligning with a potential breakout.


Ethereum vs. Bitcoin (ETH/BTC Pair)

Key Highlights:
  • ETH/BTC has retraced fully to a key support zone, aligning with the golden pocket (0.618 Fibonacci retracement).

  • ETH historically outperforms Bitcoin in bullish altcoin cycles, and Max sees signs of that cycle setting up.

  • The retrace mirrors previous cycle patterns where ETH lagged Bitcoin before a major catch-up move.


Broader Market Trends & Cycle Analysis

Key Highlights:
  • Comparing ETH’s current cycle to past ones, Max notes a "mean reversion effect" where ETH tends to lag before catching up aggressively.

  • A similar vertical rally happened in past alt seasons when underperforming assets suddenly surged.

  • ETH may not immediately skyrocket, but a gradual grind up in February-March could set the stage for an explosive move later in the cycle.


Final Thoughts: ETH’s "Hated Rally" Is Coming

Key Highlights:
  • ETH has all the right conditions for a major rally: extreme bearish sentiment, historical seasonality, and technical positioning.

  • Bitcoin has led the market, but ETH is due for a catch-up trade similar to past cycles.

  • Max recommends positioning ahead of the move rather than reacting late.

📌 Max advises traders to stay patient and consider ETH’s long-term upside rather than focusing on short-term FUD.