Ben Cowen believes Bitcoin is likely to drop to around $95K soon, possibly lower later in Q3 (July–September), before another rally in Q4 (October–December).


📉 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks):

Key Highlights:
  • Bitcoin will likely drop to the Bull Market Support Band (~$95K).

  • That’s a normal pattern seen in past years around this time.


🕒 Q3 (July–September):

Key Highlights:
  • Ben expects more downside risk, with Bitcoin possibly going to:

    Key Highlights:
    • 85K (60% chance)

    • Down to 60K (20% chance, if there's a recession)

  • Bitcoin might find a low in August or September, like in previous years.


📈 Q4 (October–December):

Key Highlights:
  • A rally is likely after the Q3 low.

  • If Bitcoin stays above key support levels (like the 50-week moving average), the rally could lead to a new all-time high.


🧠 Key Takeaways:

Key Highlights:
  • Bitcoin is stronger than altcoins right now; dominance just hit 66%.

  • The exact path is uncertain, but the general expectation is:

    Key Highlights:
    • Drop → Stabilize → Rally

  • Ben sees 2026 as a likely bear market year based on historical cycles.


🪙 Final Thoughts from Ben:

“We don’t know exactly what path Bitcoin will take, but odds are we’ll see weakness in Q3 and strength in Q4. Holding Bitcoin is likely safer than holding altcoins right now.”