Benjamin Cowen talks about what Bitcoin might do in 2025, focusing on how it usually behaves in post-halving years. A halving event happens roughly every four years, reducing the number of new Bitcoins created, and this often affects the price. Looking at past cycles like 2013, 2017, 2021, and 2024, he highlights that post-halving years often bring more volatility, meaning big price swings up and down.
Cowen explains two possible scenarios for Bitcoin this year. In the first, Bitcoin could rise to $120,000 to $140,000 by March, following patterns from previous post-halving years. In the second, factors like rising inflation or unemployment could cause an early price drop, but he still expects it to stabilize near $100,000 by the third quarter. He also points out that Bitcoin’s gains have been shrinking over the years, meaning the percentage increases are smaller than in the past.
He advises having a balanced plan rather than trying to guess exact outcomes. He recommends keeping most of your portfolio in Bitcoin, some in altcoins, and a portion in cash. Cash allows you to buy Bitcoin during dips, as large corrections of up to 50 percent have happened before in post-halving years.
Cowen encourages staying flexible and ready for either scenario. He stresses that no one can predict the market for sure, but studying past patterns can provide useful insights. His main advice is to manage risk and have a clear plan so you can stay confident no matter how Bitcoin’s price moves this year.
