Benjamin Cowen analyzes Solana’s performance against Bitcoin, showing that SOL/BTC is in a long-term downtrend and will likely continue to bleed lower, similar to Ethereum’s past performance.

Key Points:

Key Highlights:
  • Solana’s BTC pair peaked in early 2024 and has been in a distribution phase since.

  • Meme coin speculation drained liquidity from the ecosystem as retail traders lost SOL, while insiders and meme coin platforms dumped profits.

  • Solana's price action mirrors Ethereum in 2022, when ETH/BTC hit a lower high before breaking down further.

  • Many Solana bulls refuse to accept the downtrend, just like Ethereum supporters did before ETH/BTC fell.

Future Outlook:

Key Highlights:
  • SOL/BTC will likely continue trending lower through 2026, despite short-term rallies.

  • Retail traders might get caught in bear market rallies, but the broader trend remains bearish.

  • As long as Bitcoin dominance stays high, Solana and other altcoins will struggle to regain momentum.

Final Take:

Solana is in a long-term distribution phase, and its BTC pair will likely continue to decline. Meme coin speculation hurt Solana rather than helped it, causing liquidity to leave the ecosystem. While short-term rallies may occur, the macro trend suggests Solana will underperform Bitcoin.