CoinBureau’s Nick digs into the chaos around the US “strategic Bitcoin reserve.” A Freedom of Information request revealed major discrepancies, leaving the market confused — but the bigger story may be that Bitcoin doesn’t need government backing at all.

Key Highlights:
  • Outlook: The reserve is stuck in bureaucracy, but BTC’s fundamentals remain strong. A $200K target is still possible if supply shocks hit.

  • The problem: Agencies haven’t delivered reports on transferring seized BTC. Even worse, the US Marshals Service reported just 29K BTC held, far below the 200K+ BTC many assumed.

  • Mixed messaging: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant said the US wouldn’t buy more BTC, triggering a sharp selloff, before later walking back his comments.

  • The bill: Senator Lummis’ Bitcoin Act proposes buying 200K BTC per year — more than the annual new supply. But chances of passing are tiny (≈1%).

  • Narratives: Bulls like Saylor and Wood see it as transformative, while critics argue it undermines Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos.

  • Fundamentals: Regardless of government action, spot ETFs have brought in $55B+, and 74% of BTC supply is illiquid, showing strong private accumulation.

Bottom line: The US reserve plan has stalled, but Bitcoin doesn’t need it. Institutional demand and long-term holders are already creating the conditions for a major supply squeeze.