Is the Crypto Cycle Top Already In? Let’s Find Out.
CoinBureau’s latest analysis dives deep into whether the crypto bull run is ending or if there's still room for massive gains. The verdict? The cycle isn't over—yet.
1. The 4-Year Cycle – Still Intact?
Historically, crypto follows a four-year cycle:
✅ 1-2 years of a bull market
✅ 2-3 years of a bear market
Bitcoin’s last halving was in April 2024, meaning the most explosive phase of the cycle could still be ahead.
Some believe the cycle top has already happened, while others think we have 6-8 more months before the peak.
2. Global Liquidity – A Crucial Macro Factor
One of the strongest signals for crypto's future is global liquidity.
📌 Liquidity cycles happen every 4-5 years, forcing governments and central banks to inject money into the system.
📌 Liquidity is expected to rise until late 2025, a positive sign for risk assets like crypto.
📌 Crypto prices lag behind liquidity by 1-2 months, explaining recent market struggles.
Despite short-term volatility, liquidity remains bullish for crypto.
3. Why Are Altcoins Still Stuck?
Altcoins have underperformed this cycle, with many stuck in long-term ranges.
📉 Some altcoins are at new lows despite Bitcoin’s rally.
📈 A few, like Solana, are outperforming.
What’s causing this?
✅ Regulatory issues have made it harder for money to flow into altcoins.
✅ Retail investors are more active on fast, cheap networks like Solana.
✅ Institutions haven’t fully entered the market yet, but upcoming altcoin ETFs (Ethereum, Solana, XRP) could change that.
If ETF inflows pick up, altcoins could finally explode.
4. The Catalyst We Need for the Final Rally
For the crypto bull market to reach its peak, we need a major catalyst.
✅ U.S. government Bitcoin Reserve – Still a possibility.
✅ Foreign central banks buying BTC – Czech National Bank is considering it.
✅ Stablecoin regulation and institutional crypto adoption – Could drive massive new liquidity.
Final Take:
The crypto cycle isn’t over, but it’s waiting for a major trigger.
If institutions and governments start accumulating Bitcoin and key altcoins, the final parabolic phase of the bull market could be around the corner.
Until then, expect sideways action and volatility.
