CoinBureau’s Nick breaks down the big question: how much longer does this bull run have?
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Cycles matter: Crypto usually follows a 4-year cycle. With the last Bitcoin halving in April 2024, history suggests a market top could come 16–18 months later - around August to October 2025.
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How to spot the end:
Key Highlights:-
Watch Bitcoin’s monthly Bollinger Band moving average. If Bitcoin drops below it, that’s a sign the bear market has begun.
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RSI on the monthly chart is another clue. When it hits extreme levels (80–90) and price breaks short-term support, it often signals the top.
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Altcoins (especially those outside the top 10) are the first to collapse. If their market cap falls below key support, it’s an early warning.
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Catalysts to watch: Regulations, geopolitical tensions, or new rules around stablecoins could trigger the shift. But the real damage usually comes from heavy leverage being wiped out through forced selling.
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The likely bottom: Bitcoin historically never falls below its previous cycle top (around $70K this time). Altcoins, however, often drop 90–95% from their highs.
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The takeaway: Expect the bull market to peak in late 2025, followed by a bear market likely lasting into late 2026. Keep an eye on those indicators, because history shows they matter more than hype.
