Ivan on Tech is fired up about Bitcoin’s momentum and the broader crypto market. With Bitcoin sitting at $98,000 and recovering from last week’s dip to $91,000, he believes the market is gearing up for a massive breakout. Here are his key insights.

Bitcoin: Strength Beneath the Surface

Key Highlights:
  • Bitcoin is back near the $100,000 range after rebounding from last week's dump. Ivan sees $120,000 as a real possibility in the near term.
  • Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy continue to accumulate aggressively, buying another 7,600 BTC for $742 million this week alone. Ivan sees this as a sign of unwavering institutional conviction.
  • Hash ribbons are flipping bullish, signaling that miner capitulation is ending. Historically, this pattern has preceded major Bitcoin price pumps.

Thailand’s Big Crypto Move

Key Highlights:
  • Thailand is considering allowing real estate and tourism transactions in Bitcoin without needing to offboard into fiat.
  • Ivan sees this as a game-changer, making Thailand a top crypto destination like El Salvador.
  • If implemented, he believes this could attract high-net-worth crypto investors looking for financial freedom outside traditional banking systems.

The OTC Bitcoin Supply Crisis

Key Highlights:
  • The over-the-counter (OTC) Bitcoin supply is running dry, with only 140,000 BTC left.
  • Institutions like MicroStrategy and ETFs have been absorbing supply at a rapid rate, preventing major price moves.
  • Once OTC Bitcoin is depleted, large buyers will have no choice but to buy from exchanges, which could trigger a supply shock and rapid price appreciation.

Solana vs Ethereum: The Next DeFi Battle

Key Highlights:
  • Solana is outpacing Ethereum in revenue generation despite a slowdown in the overall market.
  • A heated debate is emerging over whether Solana can challenge Ethereum in DeFi, as it has already surpassed Ethereum in NFT and DEX volume.
  • Ivan believes Solana is rapidly catching up and could soon compete with Ethereum’s total value locked (TVL).

Final Take

Ivan is extremely bullish, predicting a major Bitcoin breakout soon. With institutions accumulating, OTC supply dwindling, and global adoption expanding, he sees $120,000 as a real possibility in the short term. However, he warns that as Bitcoin enters its final parabolic leg, volatility will increase, making risk management crucial.