Altseason? Not Yet – Bitcoin Still in Control
Josh Olszewicz explains why altcoins are struggling and when they could finally break out. The message? Patience.
1. Bitcoin Dominance – Alts Still Stuck in a Rut
- BTC dominance remains high, meaning altcoins are still lagging.
- Historically, altseason doesn’t start until BTC dominance drops below 60%.
- Altcoins may not see major gains until Q2 or Q3 2025.
2. Liquidity Conditions Are Improving – But Not Yet Enough
- The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is falling, a sign that liquidity is improving.
- Global money supply is rising, which could fuel risk assets like crypto.
- Lower interest rates would provide a huge tailwind—but the timing is uncertain.
3. Bitcoin’s Price Action – Where Do We Go From Here?
📌 Above $99K = Clear breakout, bullish confirmation
📌 Stuck in a range = Expect choppy movement
📌 Sideways until April? = More likely than an immediate breakout
4. Altcoins – Waiting for the Right Conditions
- Most altcoin charts still look weak, stuck under major resistance levels.
- Cardano is showing relative strength, holding above key support levels.
- Solana needs to reclaim $165 before confirming a reversal.
5. The Best Altcoin Strategy Right Now? Wait for Confirmation
✅ Don’t rush in—most altcoins are still struggling.
✅ Watch for BTC dominance to drop—that’s when alts usually shine.
✅ Key breakout levels for ETH, SOL, and others must be cleared first.
Final Take: The altcoin market is not ready for a full breakout yet. The best move? Stay patient, watch Bitcoin’s trend, and wait for clearer altcoin signals before going all-in.
