Market Stuck at $95K: Calm Before the Storm?
Bitcoin has been stuck grinding sideways just under $95K for over a week, and Lark says we’re at a breaking point. History shows similar setups often lead to a major breakout, but volume remains low, and without a strong candle close above $95K, the risk of a downside flush remains. A dip to $89K wouldn’t be surprising if momentum fades.
“Decision time for Bitcoin. We either break out soon or correct. No need to guess—just watch how it reacts.”
Macro Jitters & Geopolitical Tensions
Markets remain jittery due to ongoing tariff threats, military tensions, and macro slowdowns. Lark highlighted:
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Rumors of India-Pakistan conflict creating temporary fear dips
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Tariffs and supply chain bottlenecks hurting consumer stocks like Walmart and Home Depot
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First-quarter US GDP projected to contract by 0.4%
Yet, he notes Arthur Hayes’ take that central banks will inject liquidity, one way or another:
“It’s not QE, but it’s kinda QE. They’ll find a way to keep markets alive.”
Wall Street Still Buying the Dip
Institutional demand is real: $172M in BTC bought by Wall Street in a single day. Meanwhile, Trump’s team calls it a “space race” to accumulate Bitcoin. Lark jokes about funding Bitcoin buys by “dumping the Strategic Cheese Reserve” — but the point is serious: sovereign interest in BTC is rising.
Altcoins Show Mixed Strength
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XRP: Strong bounce off 50-day EMA, target at $2.50 if momentum holds
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Solana: 4.3M daily users, breakout zone around $140–160
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SUI: Monster rally on Pokémon partnership rumor; Lark warns it might be a “buy the rumor, sell the news” setup
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Dogecoin: Breakout from downtrend, but still under the 200-day EMA; $1 possible, but not soon
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Litecoin, Cardano: Watching EMA levels for breakouts or pullbacks. Some signs of cooling emerging.
ETF Optimism Building
Lark covers ETF approval odds, highlighting:
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90% approval odds for Litecoin and Solana ETFs
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XRP, Dogecoin, Cardano also in the high 70–80% range
This adds to broader bullish momentum as legacy players continue lining up.
The Airdrop Meta: Still Alive (But Be Smart)
Lark dives deep into airdrop farming:
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Yes, most airdrops suck, but a few pay off massively
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Best rewards often come from using protocols naturally, not gaming the system
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LayerZero, Wormhole, Jupiter, and protocols on Sui are worth watching
“Be curious, use stuff, and farm where attention isn’t overheated yet.”
Final Take:
Lark believes we’re at a key inflection point. Price action is tightening, macro risk is real, but institutional demand and regulatory progress suggest a stronger rally is near. He’s cautious in the short term but sees upside potential building into May and June.
“We’ve seen this before. Sideways grind leads to explosion. Either we pop soon, or we flush first — and then rip higher.”
