In his deep dive into altcoin (alt) season, Miles Deutscher challenges popular misconceptions and provides a data-driven perspective on when true alt seasons occur and how to prepare for them.
Understanding Alt Seasons
Alt seasons aren’t random. Historically, they occur between January and May, with Ethereum often acting as the trigger. During this period, Ethereum tends to outperform Bitcoin significantly, which sets the stage for broader altcoin rallies. Deutscher emphasizes that true alt seasons—characterized by sustained altcoin outperformance—are rare and follow clear market patterns.
Why Now Isn’t the Time to Panic
Recent dips in altcoins have sparked concern, but Deutscher advises against panic. He attributes the downturn to predictable market dynamics, such as Bitcoin's dominance rising due to macroeconomic factors like the FOMC meeting and the holiday season. He sees these dips as opportunities for strategic repositioning.
Preparation and Strategy
Deutscher stresses the importance of asset selection. Unlike past cycles where nearly any altcoin could generate returns, the current market requires focus on coins with strong narratives, active communities, and proven resilience. He suggests targeting sectors like AI, real-world assets (RWA), decentralized finance (DeFi), and Layer 1 solutions. Each sector offers unique growth potential, especially in light of shifting regulatory landscapes and technological advancements.
Patience and Execution
Success in crypto requires disciplined execution. Deutscher advises building a high-conviction portfolio and timing entries during market dips. Conviction, he notes, should come from personal research—not blind trust in influencers.
The Bigger Picture:
The combination of macroeconomic factors, seasonal trends, and evolving market narratives points to a potentially massive altcoin season in Q1 and Q2 of 2025. Deutscher believes this could align with one of the most significant risk-on environments in crypto’s history.
For investors, Deutscher’s message is clear: focus on strategic accumulation, leverage data-backed insights, and be patient. The next big alt season might just be around the corner.